O Higgins 1-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.31
-41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.4 Crosses 14.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
1W-3D-2L
AWAY La Serena
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 242
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
05.02.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 3-0 HT 3-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
14.09.2021 La Serena La Serena 2-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
18.04.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 0-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
02.01.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
05.09.2020 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
1-1
AWAY La Serena
1.31 xG 1.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
280 Passes 179
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 16
40 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins and La Serena shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was O Higgins at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, O Higgins had 60% of the ball to La Serena's 40%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.31 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for O Higgins and 0.83 for La Serena.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs La Serena?

O Higgins 1-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 48%, draw 26%, La Serena 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (O Higgins), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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