Al Sadd 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.18
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.22
X/2
11%
6.52
X/X
12%
4.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.5
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.42/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/3.32
-17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -70%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
17.9 Crosses 4.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
04.11.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
02.04.2018 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai AŞMP
13.02.2018 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
3-1
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
0.81 xG 1.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
307 Passes 388
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Wasl Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd beat Al Wasl Dubai 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Sadd had 44% of the ball to Al Wasl Dubai's 56%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.81 to 1.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Wasl Dubai.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Sadd and 1.00 for Al Wasl Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Al Sadd 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 44%, draw 26%, Al Wasl Dubai 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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