Cuniburo FC 2-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 28%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
0.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.40
-35% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.0 Crosses 13.1
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
2-1
AWAY Emelec
1.12 xG 0.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 404
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC edged past Emelec 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cuniburo FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 42% of the ball to Emelec's 58%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.12 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Emelec?

Cuniburo FC 2-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuniburo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 42%, draw 27%, Emelec 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuniburo FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cuniburo FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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