Al Najma 2-2 Al Adalah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2025

Al Najma
2-2 HT 0-1
Al Adalah
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Al Adalah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Al Adalah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.94/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.95
+55% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Al Najma vs Al Adalah Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Adalah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.11.2024 Al Adalah Al Adalah 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
19.02.2024 Al Adalah Al Adalah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
15.09.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Adalah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma and Al Adalah shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Adalah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Adalah led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Najma and 2.67 for Al Adalah.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Adalah?

Al Najma 2-2 Al Adalah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Adalah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 33%, draw 25%, Al Adalah 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
10 Mar 2025
22:00 Al Jubail vs Al-Ain Analysis →
22:00 Jeddah Club vs Abha Analysis →