Thor Akureyri 5-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-11.3pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 14%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Valur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
21.09.2014 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
22.06.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.08.2013 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
09.06.2013 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-5 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
18.09.2011 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
06.07.2011 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-3 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri ran out comfortable winners over Valur 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Valur?

Thor Akureyri 5-1 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 64%, draw 16%, Valur 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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