Orense 1-1 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Mar 2026

Orense
1-1 HT 0-0
Manta
📅10/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Orense vs Manta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Manta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
1.23/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.86
-16% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.7 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Orense vs Manta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Manta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.81 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
266 Passes 185
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.06.2025 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
23.02.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
29.08.2021 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
04.04.2021 Orense Orense 0-1 HT 0-1 Manta Manta EKV1

Orense 1-1 Manta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
1-1
AWAY Manta
0.90 xG 2.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
364 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orense vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense and Manta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orense at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orense had 54% of the ball to Manta's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.90 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 0.50 for Manta.

What was the final score of Orense vs Manta?

Orense 1-1 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orense 55%, draw 25%, Manta 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5
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