İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Mar 2026

İskenderunspor A.Ş.
1-1 HT 0-0
Bucaspor 1928
📅10/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup – 2025/2026

İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Bucaspor 1928 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İskenderunspor A.Ş. v Bucaspor 1928 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.86/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.16
-21% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3

İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Bucaspor 1928 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.06.2023 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-3 HT 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
11.12.2022 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-2 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
1-1
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
62% Ball Possession 38%
37 Total Shots 9
16 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. and Bucaspor 1928 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İskenderunspor A.Ş. at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had 62% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 38%, shots finished 37-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 2.50 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Bucaspor 1928?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskenderunspor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 66%, draw 21%, Bucaspor 1928 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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