Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 Apr 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-0 HT 1-0
Changchun YaTai
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Changchun YaTai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.59
X/2
8%
7.27
X/X
11%
4.92
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
15%
5.18
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Changchun YaTai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.82/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.62
+14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.5 Crosses 15.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Changchun YaTai Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.69 xG 1.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
323 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-1 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
19.05.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-4 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
26.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-2 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
28.08.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-2 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-0 Changchun YaTai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.65 xG 0.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
328 Passes 544
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions got the better of Changchun YaTai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cangzhou Mighty Lions as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 39% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 2.25 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Changchun YaTai?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 41%, draw 30%, Changchun YaTai 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cangzhou Mighty Lions), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cangzhou Mighty Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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