Peterborough United 3-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.33
Over
53%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.72
No
50%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.81
2-3
37%
1.93
4-5
26%
2.81
6+
12%
7.66
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.81 — our 25% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.75
X/1
19%
3.81
X/2
5%
12.8
X/X
13%
6.77
2/1
7%
20.4
2/2
10%
9.26
2/X
5%
17.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale The Market 18%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.88 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.81
0.80 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
25.0 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Port Vale
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 307
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.01.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-2 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
24.09.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 2-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
04.02.2017 Port Vale Port Vale 0-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
10.09.2016 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
12.03.2016 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-3 HT 2-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
3-0
AWAY Port Vale
1.77 xG 0.07
75% Ball Possession 25%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
603 Passes 161
91% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 1
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Peterborough United vs Port Vale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Peterborough United made light work of Port Vale 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 50%. At 1.58 (~63%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Peterborough United had 75% of the ball to Port Vale's 25%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.77 to 0.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Peterborough United and 0.83 for Port Vale.

Peterborough United vs Port Vale Result & Final Score

Peterborough United 3-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Peterborough United vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 57%, draw 23%, Port Vale 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5
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