AFC Totton 3-2 Bracknell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.97/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/2.11
+13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bracknell Town
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.10.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 1-5 HT 1-3 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Bracknell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton squeezed past Bracknell Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Bracknell Town?

AFC Totton 3-2 Bracknell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Bracknell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 50%, draw 27%, Bracknell Town 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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