Municipal 3-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
62%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.80/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.81
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
23.02.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 2-2 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.12.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
01.12.2022 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
09.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY Malacateco
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Malacateco 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Municipal had 49% of the ball to Malacateco's 51%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Malacateco?

Municipal 3-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Municipal 59%, draw 25%, Malacateco 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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