Punjab FC 4-1 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 10 Apr 2024

Punjab FC
4-1 HT 2-1
East Bengal
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Punjab FC vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Punjab FC v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
1.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.25
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -63%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.4 Crosses 22.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Punjab FC vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY East Bengal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.29 xG 0.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 9
234 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL

Punjab FC 4-1 East Bengal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
4-1
AWAY East Bengal
3.17 xG 0.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
251 Passes 476
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
41 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC swept aside East Bengal 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Punjab FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Punjab FC had 38% of the ball to East Bengal's 62%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 3.17 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs East Bengal?

Punjab FC 4-1 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 33%, draw 30%, East Bengal 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (East Bengal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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