Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 Apr 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
2-0 HT 0-0
Gamba Osaka
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
11%
7.78
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
9%
5.44
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -19%
1.89/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
+32% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.6 Crosses 15.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.84 xG 1.44
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
487 Passes 259
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
20.05.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.10.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.06.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.11.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
06.08.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-3 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-0
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.17 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
379 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos saw off Gamba Osaka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 53% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 47%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.17 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.17 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 49%, draw 25%, Gamba Osaka 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ BTTS No
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