CA La Paz 0-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Apr 2024

CA La Paz
0-1 HT 0-1
Venados
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

CA La Paz vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA La Paz v Venados — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.76/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.99
+40% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

CA La Paz vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Venados
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
12.08.2023 Venados Venados 1-3 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
29.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
26.09.2022 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados edged past CA La Paz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Venados found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA La Paz and 1.75 for Venados.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Venados?

CA La Paz 0-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 37%, draw 24%, Venados 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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