10/04/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Forde vs Sogndal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
54%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
15%
Draw
10%
73%
Away Win
84%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Forde v Sogndal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Forde
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sogndal
EU Bookmakers 90%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
1.00/3.83
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.51/0.80
+6%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+13%
/
+16%
41%
Ball Possession
59%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
7
251 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
392 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Forde vs Sogndal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Forde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Sogndal
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
24.05.2023
Forde
1-3
HT 1-1
Sogndal
NOK
1-3
HT 1-1
Sogndal
NOK
POST-MATCH
Forde vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sogndal cruised past Forde 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Forde vs Sogndal?
Forde 2-6 Sogndal in the Norway - NM Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Forde vs Sogndal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Forde 13%, draw 15%, Sogndal 73%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sogndal)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
10 Apr 2024