IH Hafnarfjordur 2-5 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 10 Apr 2025

IH Hafnarfjordur
2-5
UMF Selfoss
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup – 2026

IH Hafnarfjordur vs UMF Selfoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
58%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.5pp
58%
Away Win
80%
-22.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.2pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IH Hafnarfjordur v UMF Selfoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 85%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-1% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH IH Hafnarfjordur vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss swept aside IH Hafnarfjordur 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UMF Selfoss as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

What was the final score of IH Hafnarfjordur vs UMF Selfoss?

IH Hafnarfjordur 2-5 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IH Hafnarfjordur vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated an UMF Selfoss win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IH Hafnarfjordur 20%, draw 23%, UMF Selfoss 58%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Selfoss), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Selfoss) ✓ Over 2.5
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