Gareji 0-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 Apr 2025

Gareji
0-1 HT 0-0
Gagra
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.1pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
0-1
AWAY Gagra
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra squeezed past Gareji 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Gagra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Gareji had 45% of the ball to Gagra's 55%, shots finished 7-20.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Gagra?

Gareji 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gareji win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gareji 36%, draw 34%, Gagra 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gareji) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gareji) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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