Naft 2-0 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 10 Apr 2025

Naft
2-0 HT 0-0
Diala
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.66
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft beat Diala 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naft as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft vs Diala?

Naft 2-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naft 42%, draw 30%, Diala 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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