Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.36
Over
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
39%
4-5
14%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
35%
Draw
34%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.6pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
0.91/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.89
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
26.12.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
07.12.2024 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
13.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
17.03.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
09.12.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.10.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan squeezed past Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Foolad Khuzestan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.17 for Foolad Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 38%, draw 35%, Foolad Khuzestan 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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