Östers 3-0 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.8
Over
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.14
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.73
6+
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.34
X/2
5%
7.06
X/X
17%
4.71
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.37
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.60/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
3-0
AWAY IK Oddevold
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Östers vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers ran out comfortable winners over IK Oddevold 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Östers had 51% of the ball to IK Oddevold's 49%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Östers vs IK Oddevold?

Östers 3-0 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Östers 44%, draw 29%, IK Oddevold 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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