Nosaby IF 1-2 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.88/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.55
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Balkan
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-3 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
21.06.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-4 HT 1-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
12.08.2022 Balkan Balkan 2-3 HT 1-2 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
21.11.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 5-0 HT 3-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
11.09.2021 Balkan Balkan 3-1 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nosaby IF
1-2
AWAY Balkan
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balkan squeezed past Nosaby IF 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Balkan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nosaby IF had 62% of the ball to Balkan's 38%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nosaby IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nosaby IF and 2.17 for Balkan.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs Balkan?

Nosaby IF 1-2 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 38%, draw 26%, Balkan 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nosaby IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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