Stjarnan 1-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
2.63/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.56
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
14.8 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
542 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
08.05.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.03.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
03.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
07.05.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-1 HT 0-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
28.09.2014 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 3-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
1-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.64 xG 1.61
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
494 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan and Fram Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stjarnan at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Stjarnan had 63% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 37%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.64 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stjarnan and 0.83 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 1-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 48%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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