Paderborn vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paderborn v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals
Paderborn vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
2-2
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
2-3
HT 1-2
Hamburg
AL2
1-2
HT 0-1
Paderborn
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Hamburg
AL2
3-1
HT 2-1
Paderborn
AL2
Paderborn 1-0 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics
Paderborn nicked a narrow win over Hamburg 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paderborn had 43% of the ball to Hamburg's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.09 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paderborn and 2.00 for Hamburg.
What was the final score of Paderborn vs Hamburg?
Paderborn 1-0 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Hamburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 35%, draw 22%, Hamburg 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.