Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-3 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.46
Over 2.5
56%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.41
2-3 Goals
42%
2.36
4-5 Goals
26%
2.38
6+ Goals
11%
4.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
25%
+18.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
75%
-18.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.9pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.76/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.82
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.5 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.15 xG 1.29
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
538 Passes 237
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
05.02.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 0-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
09.09.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-4 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
17.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
25.12.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-0 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
11.05.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
3-3
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.23 xG 1.84
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
539 Passes 166
90% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and Khorfakkan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 71% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 29%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.23 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.67 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Khorfakkan?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-3 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 53%, draw 22%, Khorfakkan 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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