Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
0-1
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance edged past Kedus Giorgis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 47% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 53%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 42%, draw 29%, Ethiopian Insurance 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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