Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.05/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
+41% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Babrungas
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 HT 5-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
19.05.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
05.11.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-3 HT 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
01.07.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
23.06.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-1 Babrungas Babrungas LITK
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas squeezed past Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Neptüna Klaipeda at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.80 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Babrungas?

Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 49%, draw 23%, Babrungas 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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