Union Comercio 2-2 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ADT
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.46 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
270 Passes 204
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 ADT ADT 3-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
28.05.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-3 HT 0-2 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
2-2
AWAY ADT
1.06 xG 0.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
233 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Comercio and ADT couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Comercio had 42% of the ball to ADT's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.06 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Comercio and 3.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs ADT?

Union Comercio 2-2 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 29%, draw 31%, ADT 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Under 2.5
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