Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -18%
1.19/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.59
-26% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1W-1D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
05.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-2 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
27.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
13.06.2020 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-2 HT 0-2 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
07.09.2019 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
3-1
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola got the better of SKRA Czestochowa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stal Stalowa Wola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 46% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 54%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.25 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 45%, draw 24%, SKRA Czestochowa 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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