Krylya Sovetov 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 May 2024

Krylya Sovetov
0-2 HT 0-1
FC Akhmat Grozny
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.36
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.22
X/2
8%
5.93
X/X
14%
4.76
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.02
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v FC Akhmat Grozny — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.51/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.15
+38% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
15.7 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
30.08.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.03.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
27.08.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
14.05.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS

Krylya Sovetov 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-2
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.57 xG 1.59
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
590 Passes 184
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny beat Krylya Sovetov 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day FC Akhmat Grozny made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 72% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 28%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.57 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.67 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krylya Sovetov 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 40%, draw 31%, FC Akhmat Grozny 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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