Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.17
+20% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.7 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Wehda
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
22.05.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
13.01.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
14.03.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
03.11.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
14.04.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-2
AWAY Al Wehda
0.60 xG 1.87
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
467 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda edged past Al Khaleej 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Wehda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 64% of the ball to Al Wehda's 36%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Wehda's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Khaleej and 1.83 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Wehda?

Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 39%, draw 25%, Al Wehda 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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