BG Pathum United vs Khonkaen Utd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Khonkaen Utd — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Khonkaen Utd Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
2-0
HT 2-0
Khonkaen Utd
TAY
2-2
HT 2-1
BG Pathum United
TAY
2-1
HT 2-0
Khonkaen Utd
TAY
BG Pathum United 3-2 Khonkaen Utd — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Khonkaen Utd 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 58% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 42%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.70 to 2.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Khonkaen Utd.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BG Pathum United and 0.75 for Khonkaen Utd.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Khonkaen Utd?
BG Pathum United 3-2 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Khonkaen Utd?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 57%, draw 20%, Khonkaen Utd 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.