Monastir 4-0 Club Africain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.51
No
74%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
54%
1.89
2-3 Goals
28%
1.88
4-5 Goals
12%
7.33
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.89 — our 54% vs market 45.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.5pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+5.5pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-5.5pp
26%
BTTS Yes
36%
-9.5pp
74%
BTTS No
64%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Africain EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.90/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.44
+4% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Club Africain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Club Africain Club Africain 1-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN
10.06.2023 Club Africain Club Africain 1-1 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN
26.04.2023 Monastir Monastir 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Africain Club Africain TUN
22.01.2023 Club Africain Club Africain 1-3 HT 1-3 Monastir Monastir TUN1
14.12.2022 Monastir Monastir 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Africain Club Africain TUN1B
21.05.2022 Club Africain Club Africain 2-1 HT 1-0 Monastir Monastir TUN
POST-MATCH Monastir vs Club Africain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir ran out comfortable winners over Club Africain 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (74%) landed while under 2.5 goals (75%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Africain led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monastir and 1.00 for Club Africain.

What was the final score of Monastir vs Club Africain?

Monastir 4-0 Club Africain in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs Club Africain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monastir 43%, draw 26%, Club Africain 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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