Guangxi Baoyun 1-4 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.40/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.69
-42% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
7.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
15.2 Crosses 19.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.34 xG 1.07
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
174 Passes 373
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
26.06.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
1-4
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.29 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
182 Passes 218
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu ran out comfortable winners over Guangxi Baoyun 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hebei Kungfu as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 47% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 53%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.29 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 0.00 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Hebei Kungfu?

Guangxi Baoyun 1-4 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 20%, draw 30%, Hebei Kungfu 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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