Lugano II 2-3 Vevey Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+13.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vevey Sport EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vevey Sport
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Vevey Sport Vevey Sport 2-2 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
2-3
AWAY Vevey Sport
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Vevey Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vevey Sport nicked a narrow win over Lugano II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vevey Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lugano II had 54% of the ball to Vevey Sport's 46%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Vevey Sport?

Lugano II 2-3 Vevey Sport in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Vevey Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 42%, draw 20%, Vevey Sport 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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