USM Khenchela 2-1 MC Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Oran EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.37
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-3D-1L
AWAY MC Oran
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 MC Oran MC Oran 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
23.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
17.11.2023 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
09.04.2023 MC Oran MC Oran 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
08.10.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela nicked a narrow win over MC Oran 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for USM Khenchela and 0.40 for MC Oran.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Oran?

USM Khenchela 2-1 MC Oran in the Algeria - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 46%, draw 31%, MC Oran 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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