Tukums II 3-1 Augsdaugava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Augsdaugava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II saw off Augsdaugava 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tukums II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Augsdaugava?

Tukums II 3-1 Augsdaugava in the Latvia - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Augsdaugava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 46%, draw 27%, Augsdaugava 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tukums II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tukums II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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