Al Mokawloon 1-0 Abu Qair Semad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-11.8pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Abu Qair Semad EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.28/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.50
+11% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +89%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Abu Qair Semad
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad 3-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-0
AWAY Abu Qair Semad
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over Abu Qair Semad 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Mokawloon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 36% of the ball to Abu Qair Semad's 64%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad?

Al Mokawloon 1-0 Abu Qair Semad in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Abu Qair Semad?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 33%, draw 35%, Abu Qair Semad 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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