Pors Grenland 1-2 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 48%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/3.41
+0% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pors Grenland
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.10.2004 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-0 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR1
20.06.2004 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 5-2 HT 1-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund edged past Pors Grenland 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pors Grenland at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pors Grenland had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Pors Grenland and 1.00 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Vard Haugesund?

Pors Grenland 1-2 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pors Grenland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 42%, draw 22%, Vard Haugesund 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pors Grenland) ✗ BTTS No
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