Nacka Iliria 1-2 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.53/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.94
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacka Iliria
1-2
AWAY BK Forward
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BK Forward edged past Nacka Iliria 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nacka Iliria had 64% of the ball to BK Forward's 36%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs BK Forward?

Nacka Iliria 1-2 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 50%, draw 22%, BK Forward 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacka Iliria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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