AC Milan (K) 3-1 Parma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.07/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.76
-27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +141%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
21.2 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Parma (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.23 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
337 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
8 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Parma (K) Parma (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
3-1
AWAY Parma (K)
1.28 xG 1.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
293 Passes 457
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Parma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) beat Parma (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 41% of the ball to Parma (K)'s 59%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.28 to 1.48.

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Parma (K)?

AC Milan (K) 3-1 Parma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Parma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 55%, draw 23%, Parma (K) 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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