Western United II 3-2 North Geelong Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 10 May 2026

Western United II
3-2
North Geelong Warriors
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Western United II vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.32
No
32%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.7pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United II v North Geelong Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Western United II vs North Geelong Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United II edged past North Geelong Warriors 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western United II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

What was the final score of Western United II vs North Geelong Warriors?

Western United II 3-2 North Geelong Warriors in the AVPL1 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United II vs North Geelong Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Western United II 47%, draw 23%, North Geelong Warriors 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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