ML Vitebsk 5-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 May 2026

ML Vitebsk
5 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Dnepr Mogilev
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2026

ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.83
Away
8%
8.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.39
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.15
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

ML Vitebsk v Dnepr Mogilev — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME ML Vitebsk The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev The Market 12%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.58 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.26
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ML Vitebsk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 HT 1-1 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk BLR1
25.06.2023 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 5-2 HT 2-2 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1

ML Vitebsk 5-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ML Vitebsk
5 - 1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

ML Vitebsk cruised past Dnepr Mogilev 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had ML Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in ML Vitebsk's favour, shots finished 23-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.00 a game for ML Vitebsk against 2.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev Result & Final Score

ML Vitebsk 5 - 1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a ML Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split ML Vitebsk 77%, draw 15%, Dnepr Mogilev 8%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Vitebsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ML Vitebsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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