Deportivo San Pedro 1-0 Nueva Santa Rosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
45%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Deportivo San Pedro win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
61%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo San Pedro The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Santa Rosa The Market 19%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo San Pedro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nueva Santa Rosa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2026 Nueva Santa Rosa Nueva Santa Rosa 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo San Pedro Deportivo San Pedro GUAP
POST-MATCH Deportivo San Pedro vs Nueva Santa Rosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo San Pedro squeezed past Nueva Santa Rosa 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo San Pedro as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Deportivo San Pedro vs Nueva Santa Rosa?

Deportivo San Pedro 1-0 Nueva Santa Rosa in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo San Pedro vs Nueva Santa Rosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo San Pedro win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Deportivo San Pedro 64%, draw 22%, Nueva Santa Rosa 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo San Pedro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo San Pedro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAP More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
10 May 2026
23:00 Chichicasteco vs Suchitepequez Analysis →