America Mineiro 2-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 35% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.67/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.21
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.5 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
287 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
23.09.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BRK
17.09.2020 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-2 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRK
09.08.2020 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
03.11.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
31.07.2019 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.50 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
417 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro got the better of Ponte Preta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America Mineiro had 54% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 46%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.50 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America Mineiro and 0.67 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta?

America Mineiro 2-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 54%, draw 26%, Ponte Preta 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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