Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
3-1
HT 2-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
4-3
HT 3-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven edged past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 57% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 43%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.21 to 2.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.00 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 44%, draw 25%, Indy Eleven 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.