Criciuma 1-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Jun 2025

Criciuma
1-0 HT 0-0
Vila Nova
📅10/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Criciuma vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.62
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.41/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.10
-13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
25.1 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Criciuma vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vila Nova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
13.05.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
05.10.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.06.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
02.10.2019 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
08.06.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Criciuma 1-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-0
AWAY Vila Nova
2.52 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 0
16 Corners 3
339 Passes 208
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Vila Nova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Criciuma had 60% of the ball to Vila Nova's 40%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.52 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Criciuma's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 0.50 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Vila Nova?

Criciuma 1-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 43%, draw 31%, Vila Nova 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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