LDU Portoviejo 1-1 Independiente Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 10 Jun 2025

📅10/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.54
Over
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No Pick
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Portoviejo The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Juniors The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Portoviejo
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Juniors
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2021 LDU Portoviejo LDU Portoviejo 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Juniors Independiente Juniors EKV2
18.07.2021 Independiente Juniors Independiente Juniors 3-1 HT 1-1 LDU Portoviejo LDU Portoviejo EKV2
26.05.2021 LDU Portoviejo LDU Portoviejo 2-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Juniors Independiente Juniors EKV2
24.03.2021 Independiente Juniors Independiente Juniors 3-0 HT 0-0 LDU Portoviejo LDU Portoviejo EKV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Portoviejo
1-1
AWAY Independiente Juniors
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Portoviejo and Independiente Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, LDU Portoviejo had 49% of the ball to Independiente Juniors's 51%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Juniors led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for LDU Portoviejo and 2.25 for Independiente Juniors.

What was the final score of LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors?

LDU Portoviejo 1-1 Independiente Juniors in the Ecuador - Cup on 10/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Portoviejo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split LDU Portoviejo 39%, draw 27%, Independiente Juniors 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Portoviejo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Portoviejo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →