Nautico 0-1 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Jun 2026

Nautico
0-1 HT 0-1
Fortaleza
📅10/06/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Nautico vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nautico v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nautico EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.24
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.3 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nautico vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nautico
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.02.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-1 HT 2-0 Nautico Nautico BRCDN
26.03.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-0 HT 1-0 Nautico Nautico BRCDN
12.02.2022 Nautico Nautico 2-2 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRCDN
19.04.2012 Nautico Nautico 2-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRK
13.04.2012 Fortaleza Fortaleza 4-0 HT 2-0 Nautico Nautico BRK

Nautico 0-1 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nautico
0-1
AWAY Fortaleza
1.80 xG 0.31
72% Ball Possession 28%
31 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
468 Passes 139
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 10
41 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nautico vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza edged past Nautico 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nautico at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nautico had 72% of the ball to Fortaleza's 28%, shots finished 31-4, expected goals 1.80 to 0.31 — on chances, Nautico could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nautico and 2.20 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Nautico vs Fortaleza?

Nautico 0-1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nautico vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nautico win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nautico 44%, draw 26%, Fortaleza 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nautico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nautico) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
10 Jun 2026
01:00 Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba Analysis →