Mirassol FC 1-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 36% vs market 32.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.22/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.36
-15% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.1 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CRB
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
370 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.09.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
08.06.2023 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-0
AWAY CRB
0.46 xG 0.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
400 Passes 363
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over CRB 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 52% of the ball to CRB's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.46 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.00 for CRB.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs CRB?

Mirassol FC 1-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 48%, draw 28%, CRB 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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