10/07/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Asane II vs Bjarg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
16%
Draw
9%
64%
Away Win
85%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asane II v Bjarg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Asane II
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bjarg
EU Bookmakers 91%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-100%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-33%
/
+5%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
4
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
252 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
558 · 89%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Asane II vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bjarg swept aside Asane II 9-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-6. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 9-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Asane II vs Bjarg?
Asane II 0-9 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asane II vs Bjarg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Asane II 19%, draw 16%, Bjarg 64%. The final score 0-9 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bjarg)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
10 Jul 2024